Primarily based on the UN, the chief of al Qaeda throughout the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), Khalid Batarfi, was arrested and his amount two, Saad Atef al Awlaqi, died all through an “operation in Ghayda Metropolis, Al-Mahrah Governorate, in October. ”
That’s the major time Batarfi’s arrest has been formally confirmed. The UN provided no extra particulars in regards to the operation or on Batarfi’s current whereabouts. In early October, the SITE Intelligence Group drew consideration to “unconfirmed experiences” indicating Batarfi had been arrested by Yemeni security forces throughout the Mahra Governorate after which handed over to Saudi Arabia.
Batarfi grew to grow to be the chief of AQAP in early 2022 after his predecessor was killed in a US airstrike. Batarfi, who’s in his early 40s, is from a Yemeni family nevertheless was born in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He expert with al Qaeda in Afghanistan sooner than 9/11 and later joined al Qaeda’s affiliate in Yemen. Batarfi grew to grow to be a key ideologue for the group and, in conserving with the UN, helped oversee its exterior operations sooner than he grew to grow to be chief.
The reality that Batarfi allowed himself to be captured alive all through the raid barely than securing “martyrdom” like Osama bin Laden generally is a critical embarrassment to al Qaeda. In his inaugural deal with as AQAP chief remaining March, Batarfi stated that “as per our methodology, the martyrdom of leaders is proof of its truthfulness, and it’s a badge of honor adorned by these leaders,” in conserving with a translation by the SITE Intelligence Group.
Given Batarfi was the “emir” of definitely one in all al Qaeda’s key regional associates, there has arguably not been a further senior al Qaeda chief captured alive since bin Laden primarily based the group higher than 30 years in the previous. No matter putting out statements on completely different points in present months, AQAP has not acknowledged Batarfi’s arrest.
The shortage of Batarfi is the latest in a string of setbacks for AQAP. In February 2022, the US authorities launched that Batarfi’s predecessor Qassim al-Rimi had been killed in an airstrike in Yemen. That adopted a deadly capturing assault in December 2019 at Naval Air Station Pensacola by a Saudi air energy officer who was coordinating with AQAP, in conserving with the US Justice division.
“Together with administration losses, AQAP is struggling an erosion of its ranks attributable to dissentions and desertions,” and was pressured to disperse from Bayda Governorate after a giant navy defeat, the UN report states.
It states that the worldwide al Qaeda neighborhood “faces a model new and pressing downside concerning its administration and strategic route, following an distinctive interval of attrition of its senior leaders” in Afghanistan, Mali, Somalia, Yemen and Syria’s Idlib province.
The report stated that no member state had been able to affirm experiences of the demise from pure causes of al Qaeda’s chief Ayman al-Zawahiri in October. Remaining month the US authorities publicly confirmed experiences that his deputy Abu Muhammad al-Masri had been killed in Iran in August.
The UN report suggests the in all probability subsequent in line to take over from al-Zawahiri is Saif al-Adel, a veteran Egyptian al Qaeda operative who like al-Masri is believed to have prolonged resided in Iran.
The report states: “Must a succession to al-Zawahiri turn into essential, it is perhaps troublesome for the model new chief to take up residence in Afghanistan, as such a switch might impact the pursuits of the Taliban, given their peace course of obligations . Al-Qaida is predicted by Member States to beat these challenges, nevertheless it’s not clear whether or not or not it could lastly emerge stronger, beneath a further dynamic administration, or definitely the place its leaders will lastly uncover a safe haven from which to perform. “
A potential future surge in ISIS terror assaults
In its wide-ranging analysis of the worldwide jihadist menace, the UN report warns that as coronavirus restrictions are eased, “a rash of pre-planned assaults may occur” on account of ISIS is set to make worldwide data headlines as quickly as as soon as extra.
The UN report notes that ISIS has cherished a “captive viewers” amongst Islamist extremists cooped up indoors and spending further time on-line all through the pandemic, in all probability creating an gathered menace.
Between September and November remaining 12 months, jihadis carried out a spate of terror assaults in France, Germany, Austria and Switzerland, underlining the enduring menace to Europe. Among the many attackers may have been motivated to behave sooner than it grew to grow to be more durable to deal with of us congregating in public.
A deadly terrorist stabbing assault in a church in Good, France, in late October and a deadly marauding gun assault throughout the center of Vienna, Austria, in early November have been carried out merely hours sooner than nationwide coronavirus lockdowns have been because of enter influence in France and Austria.
Primarily based on the report, one jihadi neighborhood in Europe inflicting concern is the so-called “‘Lions of the Balkans’, a world neighborhood composed of elements based totally in a minimal of Austria, Germany, Switzerland and western Balkan nations.”
Primarily based on the UN, every the Vienna attacker and a sort of arrested in reference to an ISIS plot to assault US and NATO navy bases in Germany thwarted by German police remaining April have been linked to this neighborhood, as have been three jihadis arrested in September in North Macedonia “detected to be involved throughout the closing beginning stage of a terrorist assault.”
A darkening worldwide menace picture
The report warns that ”